Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.142738 0.174019 0.207909 0.247060 0.290753 0.337744 0.391828
2025-03-16 0.093654 0.132961 0.179512 0.237469 0.306497 0.384973 0.479831
2025-03-23 0.069662 0.114433 0.171934 0.248173 0.343740 0.456967 0.598671
2025-03-30 0.048319 0.093663 0.157213 0.246929 0.364931 0.510019 0.697141
2025-04-06 0.033689 0.077993 0.145818 0.247374 0.386771 0.563657 0.797509
2025-04-13 0.024494 0.067817 0.139938 0.253679 0.415501 0.626164 0.910173
2025-04-20 0.018157 0.060363 0.136517 0.262364 0.447024 0.692620 1.029074
2025-04-27 0.013197 0.053584 0.132722 0.269502 0.476020 0.756031 1.145106
2025-05-04 0.008573 0.045139 0.124247 0.268038 0.491928 0.801705 1.238486
2025-05-11 0.005856 0.039892 0.120444 0.273237 0.517191 0.860216 1.349453
2025-05-18 0.003434 0.033403 0.112705 0.270754 0.530278 0.901688 1.437988
2025-05-25 0.001434 0.025326 0.099387 0.256787 0.524417 0.915693 1.489044
2025-06-01 0.000714 0.021900 0.095898 0.260326 0.546465 0.970638 1.598063
2025-06-08 0.000191 0.017123 0.087517 0.253616 0.551481 1.000868 1.673454
2025-06-15 0.000085 0.016200 0.089304 0.266734 0.589298 1.079786 1.817716
2025-06-22 0.000007 0.013419 0.084754 0.266567 0.604806 1.125892 1.916600
2025-06-29 NaN 0.011209 0.081096 0.267701 0.622297 1.175069 2.020309
2025-07-06 NaN 0.009978 0.080298 0.274737 0.649984 1.239943 2.146993
2025-07-13 NaN 0.009134 0.080611 0.284121 0.681889 1.311577 2.283983
2025-07-20 NaN 0.008201 0.080207 0.291781 0.710879 1.379118 2.415783
2025-07-27 NaN 0.006579 0.076037 0.290321 0.723438 1.421461 2.511671
2025-08-03 NaN 0.005729 0.074924 0.295846 0.748592 1.483547 2.636652
2025-08-10 NaN 0.004441 0.070667 0.293258 0.758709 1.522201 2.727861